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Analytics Analysis of metals

Gold and Silver Technical Outlook September 22, 2016

22 September 2016
GOLD (XAUUSD)

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XAU/USD started to grow even before the release of FOMC decision. It is possible, that market participants were inspired by the fact that the Bank of Japan left rates unchanged and has made no crucial decisions. Investors though that FOMC was going to do the same thing and started to buy Gold and Silver. Market participants decided to sell USD as the situation with US growth is still unclear. In addition, there was nothing new or interesting in FOMC members’ speeches. We think that the main reason to sell USD was the fact that there was no clear hint on interest rates hike in December.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. We have seen some decline according to the technical analysis last week. We expect XAU/USD to bounce off the red trendline this week.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. It is better to avoid trading as the price is close to the upper side of the MA-channel.



SILVER (XAGUSD)

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Silver had some growth yesterday and continues to develop the upside tendency. Market participants have doubts about the probability of monetary policy tightening by the Fed this year. US interest rates futures still indicates that the possibility of interest rates hike in December is at 55%.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. We expect XAG/USD to be trading within last week’s range.

The uptrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. It is better to avoid trading at the moment as the price is close to the upper side of the MA-channel.

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