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Technical Outlook August 8, 2016

08 August 2016
EURUSD

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EUR/USD had a sharp decline after a strong US Labor Market data. The most important driver for the USD growth was the number of new jobs created the Average Hourly Earnings. The last one is the sign of inflation growth in future. Inflation growth will make the Fed to increase interest rates which may give an additional support to the USD. The probability of interest rates growth in December increased. This fact may support USD.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55. EUR/USD was close to the two trendline cross and then reversed. We expect negative dynamics this week.

The downtrend on the Hourly chart is in progress as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. EUR/USD goes back to the balance line offering some opportunities to open short trades from the MA55.


GBPUSD

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GBP/USD continued its decline on the Friday’s US Labor Market data according to our expectations. The downtrend was progressing and you may try open short trades from the upper trendline area as the price may not reach the balance line during such a strong trend.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. GBP/USD tried to grow last week. However, the tendency was broken because of the Bank of England MPC’s decision as well as the US Labor Market data.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to open short trades from the upper trendline, placing stops above it.


AUDUSD

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AUD/USD declined on the US Labor Market data according to our expectations. However, this downside tendency was limited and the currency pair may resume the uptrend. This may happen in case of better Australian stats.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The currency pair closed last week in the positive area. This positive dynamics may continue this week.

The uptrend is progressing on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks upwards although the price is below the MA55. We advise to observe fluctuations and avoid trading.


USDCHF

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USD/CHF fluctuated according to scenario on the better than expected US Labor Market data. It is better to trade this data only after publication although you may miss the chance to do it. Today we advise to wait until the price goes back to the balance line.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55. USD growth may continue this week and we recommend opening long trades.

The uptrend is progressing on the Hurly chart as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. The price goes back to the balance line allowing opening short trades from the MA55 area.

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