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Technical Outlook December 5, 2016

05 December 2016

EURUSD

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US Labor Market data was main Friday’s release. This statistics was mixed as the number of new positions met the expectations but Average Hourly Earnings declined to -0,1% which is negative for inflation growth. The currency pair reaction was moderate. However, EUR/USD declined sharply today in the morning as Italian referendum prelim results are disappointing for Euro. Italian people voted against new amendments to the Constitution. Mateo Renzi is going to resign as he will lose the referendum.

The currency pair is in the downtrend as the price is below the MA55 balance line. There was no expected growth last week. EUR/USD is unlikely to reach 1,08500 as the results of Italian referendum are negative for Euro. We think that the currency pair is going to decline.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We give no recommendations as the price is close to the lower side of the MA-channel.

GBPUSD

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The currency pair is likely to end its upside correction close to the 1,28500 level. Then it is going to decline as we expect. There is a strong uptrend and you may try to earn on this upside tendency if there is any opportunity. There is an important UK Service PMI data today. And we advise to pay attention to it. However, forecasts are close to the current figures.

The currency pair is in the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. GBP/USD was unable to reach 1,28000 but we think it is able to touch 1,28500 this week. We expect the currency pair to resume its decline then.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stop losses below the curve.

AUDUSD

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The currency pair had an expected growth towards the broken through trendline. We gave no recommendations to open short trades from the MA55 balance line. The currency pair reached the trendline but it is still risky to open short trades as the uptrend is going to develop. We expect AUD/USD to decline this week and we advise to wait until the currency pair is going to reverse.

The currency pair is in the neutral trend as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. AUD/USD continues its upside correction this week but we expect it to decline towards 0,71800.

There is still the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment as the situation is disputable.

USDCHF

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The currency pair made several downside bursts but return to its previous positions. The weekly chart situation still determines fluctuations and breaks any attempts to establish new tendency. USD/CHF is trying to grow today in the morning allowing to open long trades. However, we advise to wait until the MA-channel changes its direction.

The currency pair is in the Uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating above the MA55 balance line. USD/CHF failed to decline below the trendline and we think that the currency pair is going to grow towards 1,03000.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as the situation is still unclear.


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