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Technical Outlook November 15, 2016

15 November 2016

EURUSD

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USD continued to grow on Monday. It seems that the currency pair is going to strengthen its positions in the beginning of the week. However, we think that the correction is possible in the second half of this week. Interest Rates Hike odds increases again and reached 86%. The currency pair resides at the unsuitable area to take decisions. We give no recommendations. We think that this week may be corrective. Mario Draghi said nothing that could increase volatility yesterday.

The downtrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair is going to fluctuate in this direction during the next couple of weeks. We expect EUR/USD to correct upwards and then to resume its decline.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. WE advise to wait until the price is back to the MA55 balance line in order to take any decisions.

GBPUSD

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The currency pair reached the MA55 balance line again and crossed it. There is a change in tendency. It is better to search for short trades only from now. The price is going to stay close to the trendline for a while today but the tendency has changed already and we think that the trendline is going to be crossed. Today we advise to pay attention to UK CPI data as well as to US Retail Sales statistics.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair growth last week was influenced by several aspects. We expect GBP/USD to grow towards 1,28000 this week and then to reverse and to resume the decline.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line area. Place stop losses above the curve.

AUDUSD

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The currency pair returned to the MA55 balance line but there are some signs of the upside correction. However, there is still a downside bias and we advise to open short trades only. If the currency pair goes above 0,75800, the upside correction will take place. This is the main reason why we advise to place stop losses above this level.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair established a downside bias and we had to adjust the trendline. There is a probability that the currency pair is going to reach 0,71800.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line area. Place stop losses above 0,75850.

USDCHF

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The currency pair offered no opportunity to open long trades from the MA55 balance line. We expect a correction to start today and in this case there will be an opportunity to buy the currency pair with low risks. Long trades should be opened from the trendline on the Hourly chart. Targets should be close to 1,0000 level. Stop losses should be about 100 pips.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. There is a clear bias on the chart and we expect the currency pair to continue its growth towards 1,00000.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the Ma55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the trendline on the Hourly chart. Place stop losses below this line.


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