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Technical Outlook November 18, 2016

18 November 2016

EURUSD

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The currency pair continued to decline after some flat fluctuations within a wide range. US Consumer Spending inflation was better than expected as this indicator increased to 0,4% - the highest growth for the past couple of years. Interest Rates hike odds increased up to 91%. USD continued its uptrend during American session. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as the price is close to the lower side of the MA-channel. 3 FOMC members are going to speak today – George, Bullard and Dudley. All those FOMC members are “Hawks” and two of them voted for the interest Rates hike on September and November.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair established a downside tendency last week and we think it I going to follow this tendency in the nearest future. We expect EUR/USD to be in a correction this week and then to resume its decline.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading at the moment, as the situation is still unclear.

GBPUSD

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The currency pair jumped upside. If you had an opportunity to open short trades, your positions were fixed by stop losses. US inflation statistics changed everything and USD gained momentum. The currency pair established a downside tendency which is likely to accelerate today. It is to notice that MPC member Broadbent is going to give his comments today. We advise to look for short trades from the Moving Average with period 13.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the Ma55 balance line. Few factors influenced last week’s GBP/USD growth. We expect the currency pair to grow towards 1,28000 this week and then we think the currency pair is going to decline.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA13. Place stop losses above the curve.

AUDUSD

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The currency pair failed to reach the MA55 balance line and there was no opportunity to open short trades. The downtrend is in progress. However, there is almost no opportunity to open trades as the price is close to the lower side of the MA-channel.

There is still the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair established a downside tendency and we had to adjust the trendline. The currency pair is likely to decline towards 0,71800 in the nearest future.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as the situation is unclear.

USDCHF

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The currency pair offered an opportunity top open long trades from the MA55 balance line and you could earn about 650 pips and about 1000 pips including today’s growth. There is no opportunity to open trades at the moment as the price is far from the MA55.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair established a tendency after the US Presidential elections. We still believe the currency pair is able to break through 1,0000.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as the situation is still unclear.


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