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Technical Outlook November 30, 2016

30 November 2016

EURUSD

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Yesterday’s situation offered an opportunity to open long trades from 1,05750 according to our expectations with stop loss at 150 pips from the order price. There was no sense to place stop loss closer. The currency pair allowed taking about 750 pips as profit. USD GDP data was mixed as economy growth accelerates but deflator slows down. There is a great volume of macroeconomic statistics today from Europe and USA. The price is forming a triangle which is likely to resume the uptrend.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair formed a short body candlestick last week which indicates on the probability of further growth. This upside tendency is a part of a correction but it may target 1,08500.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading at the moment and wait for better signals.

GBPUSD

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The currency pair tries to establish a wide range without any direction. We give no recommendations in this situation. WE think that this dynamics may continue today. However, you may try to open trades from the both sides of this range.

The downtrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. We think that the currency pair is able to go towards 1,28000 and GBP/USD may even reach this point.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading today as the situation is still unclear.

AUDUSD

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The currency pair continues to fluctuate below the resistance level at 0,74900-0,75000. There are still no signs of breaking through this level and we think that the currency pair is able to bounce off this point if it holds Bulls attacks. Long trades from the MA55 balance line failed to bring profit and was closed as stop losses triggered. There was no opportunity to buy from the trend line as the price failed to reach it. We advise to do nothing today as there is a probability of a reverse.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair failed to reach 0,71800 level but we think that it still looks downwards and may resume its downside tendency after a correction.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading today as the situation is unclear.

USDCHF

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There was an opportunity to sell from the trend line on the Hourly chart according to our recommendations yesterday but if you placed stop losses close to the position, they have triggered. You should place stop losses at 250 pips from the strike price. The currency pair was in a profit area for 450 pips. It was enough to take profit and close positions. We advise to avoid trading today as the trend is weak and there is a probability of a reverse.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair reached 1,02000 but failed to touch previously established targets. We think that there will be attempts to decline below the trendline on the Weekly chart.

The downtrend is progressing on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment as the situation is unclear.


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